GAMEVIL (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23300.0

063080 Stock  KRW 38,200  900.00  2.41%   
GAMEVIL's future price is the expected price of GAMEVIL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GAMEVIL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GAMEVIL Backtesting, GAMEVIL Valuation, GAMEVIL Correlation, GAMEVIL Hype Analysis, GAMEVIL Volatility, GAMEVIL History as well as GAMEVIL Performance.
  
Please specify GAMEVIL's target price for which you would like GAMEVIL odds to be computed.

GAMEVIL Target Price Odds to finish below 23300.0

The tendency of GAMEVIL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 23,300  or more in 90 days
 38,200 90 days 23,300 
about 34.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GAMEVIL to drop to W 23,300  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.28 (This GAMEVIL probability density function shows the probability of GAMEVIL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GAMEVIL price to stay between W 23,300  and its current price of W38200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GAMEVIL will likely underperform. Additionally GAMEVIL has an alpha of 0.8427, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GAMEVIL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GAMEVIL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GAMEVIL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38,19438,20038,206
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37,43037,43642,020
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GAMEVIL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GAMEVIL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GAMEVIL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GAMEVIL.

GAMEVIL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GAMEVIL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GAMEVIL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GAMEVIL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GAMEVIL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.84
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
6,100
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

GAMEVIL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GAMEVIL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GAMEVIL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GAMEVIL is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GAMEVIL appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GAMEVIL has accumulated 16.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. GAMEVIL has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GAMEVIL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GAMEVIL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GAMEVIL sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GAMEVIL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GAMEVIL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 36.0% of GAMEVIL shares are owned by insiders or employees

GAMEVIL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GAMEVIL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GAMEVIL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GAMEVIL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.3 B
Shares Float4.1 M

GAMEVIL Technical Analysis

GAMEVIL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GAMEVIL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GAMEVIL. In general, you should focus on analyzing GAMEVIL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GAMEVIL Predictive Forecast Models

GAMEVIL's time-series forecasting models is one of many GAMEVIL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GAMEVIL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GAMEVIL

Checking the ongoing alerts about GAMEVIL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GAMEVIL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GAMEVIL is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GAMEVIL appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GAMEVIL has accumulated 16.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. GAMEVIL has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GAMEVIL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GAMEVIL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GAMEVIL sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GAMEVIL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GAMEVIL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 36.0% of GAMEVIL shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in GAMEVIL Stock

GAMEVIL financial ratios help investors to determine whether GAMEVIL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GAMEVIL with respect to the benefits of owning GAMEVIL security.