Duksan Hi (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,615

077360 Stock  KRW 3,415  220.00  6.89%   
Duksan Hi's future price is the expected price of Duksan Hi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Duksan Hi Metal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Duksan Hi Backtesting, Duksan Hi Valuation, Duksan Hi Correlation, Duksan Hi Hype Analysis, Duksan Hi Volatility, Duksan Hi History as well as Duksan Hi Performance.
  
Please specify Duksan Hi's target price for which you would like Duksan Hi odds to be computed.

Duksan Hi Target Price Odds to finish below 3,615

The tendency of Duksan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3,415 90 days 3,415 
roughly 2.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duksan Hi to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.38 (This Duksan Hi Metal probability density function shows the probability of Duksan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duksan Hi has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Duksan Hi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Duksan Hi Metal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Duksan Hi Metal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Duksan Hi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Duksan Hi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duksan Hi Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,4123,4153,418
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2053,2083,756
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,2903,2933,296
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,2164,1385,061
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Duksan Hi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Duksan Hi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Duksan Hi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Duksan Hi Metal.

Duksan Hi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duksan Hi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duksan Hi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duksan Hi Metal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duksan Hi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
568.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Duksan Hi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duksan Hi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duksan Hi Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duksan Hi Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Duksan Hi Metal has accumulated about 18.51 B in cash with (13.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Duksan Hi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duksan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duksan Hi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duksan Hi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.5 B

Duksan Hi Technical Analysis

Duksan Hi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duksan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duksan Hi Metal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duksan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Duksan Hi Predictive Forecast Models

Duksan Hi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duksan Hi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duksan Hi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Duksan Hi Metal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duksan Hi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duksan Hi Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duksan Hi Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Duksan Hi Metal has accumulated about 18.51 B in cash with (13.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Duksan Stock

Duksan Hi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duksan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duksan with respect to the benefits of owning Duksan Hi security.