Focus Home (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.68
| 0HF Stock | EUR 18.68 0.06 0.32% |
Focus |
Focus Home Target Price Odds to finish below 18.68
The tendency of Focus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 18.68 | 90 days | 18.68 | about 8.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focus Home to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 8.0 (This Focus Home Interactive probability density function shows the probability of Focus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Focus Home will likely underperform. Additionally Focus Home Interactive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Focus Home Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Focus Home
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focus Home Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Focus Home Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focus Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focus Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focus Home Interactive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focus Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Focus Home Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focus Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focus Home Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Focus Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Focus Home has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Focus Home has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Focus Home Interactive has accumulated about 19.5 M in cash with (8.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.66. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Focus Home Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Focus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Focus Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Focus Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M |
Focus Home Technical Analysis
Focus Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focus Home Interactive. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Focus Home Predictive Forecast Models
Focus Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Focus Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Focus Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Focus Home Interactive
Checking the ongoing alerts about Focus Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focus Home Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Focus Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Focus Home has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Focus Home has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Focus Home Interactive has accumulated about 19.5 M in cash with (8.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.66. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Focus Stock
Focus Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Focus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Focus with respect to the benefits of owning Focus Home security.