Cars (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.67

0HTZ Stock   17.10  0.36  2.06%   
Cars' future price is the expected price of Cars instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cars Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cars Backtesting, Cars Valuation, Cars Correlation, Cars Hype Analysis, Cars Volatility, Cars History as well as Cars Performance.
  
Please specify Cars' target price for which you would like Cars odds to be computed.

Cars Target Price Odds to finish over 18.67

The tendency of Cars Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  18.67  or more in 90 days
 17.10 90 days 18.67 
about 32.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cars to move over  18.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.3 (This Cars Inc probability density function shows the probability of Cars Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cars Inc price to stay between its current price of  17.10  and  18.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cars has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cars average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cars Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cars Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cars Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cars

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cars Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1117.0820.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8114.7817.75
Details

Cars Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cars is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cars' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cars Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cars within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Cars Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cars for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cars Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cars Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Cars Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cars Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cars' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cars' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments39.2 M

Cars Technical Analysis

Cars' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cars Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cars Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cars Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cars Predictive Forecast Models

Cars' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cars' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cars' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cars Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cars for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cars Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cars Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Tools for Cars Stock Analysis

When running Cars' price analysis, check to measure Cars' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cars is operating at the current time. Most of Cars' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cars' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cars' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cars to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.