ONEOK (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 92.96

0KCI Stock   99.85  1.61  1.64%   
ONEOK's future price is the expected price of ONEOK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ONEOK Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ONEOK Backtesting, ONEOK Valuation, ONEOK Correlation, ONEOK Hype Analysis, ONEOK Volatility, ONEOK History as well as ONEOK Performance.
  
Please specify ONEOK's target price for which you would like ONEOK odds to be computed.

ONEOK Target Price Odds to finish below 92.96

The tendency of ONEOK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  92.96  or more in 90 days
 99.85 90 days 92.96 
about 15.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ONEOK to drop to  92.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.13 (This ONEOK Inc probability density function shows the probability of ONEOK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ONEOK Inc price to stay between  92.96  and its current price of 99.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ONEOK has a beta of 0.45. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ONEOK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ONEOK Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ONEOK Inc has an alpha of 0.1078, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ONEOK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ONEOK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ONEOK Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.9399.92101.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.62101.61103.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.36101.35103.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.63106.26115.89
Details

ONEOK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ONEOK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ONEOK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ONEOK Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ONEOK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
7.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

ONEOK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ONEOK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ONEOK Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ONEOK Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Arvest Bank Trust Division Acquires New Stake in ONEOK, Inc. - MarketBeat

ONEOK Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ONEOK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ONEOK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ONEOK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding485.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments338 M

ONEOK Technical Analysis

ONEOK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ONEOK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ONEOK Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing ONEOK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ONEOK Predictive Forecast Models

ONEOK's time-series forecasting models is one of many ONEOK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ONEOK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ONEOK Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about ONEOK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ONEOK Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ONEOK Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Arvest Bank Trust Division Acquires New Stake in ONEOK, Inc. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for ONEOK Stock Analysis

When running ONEOK's price analysis, check to measure ONEOK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ONEOK is operating at the current time. Most of ONEOK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ONEOK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ONEOK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ONEOK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.