SM Energy (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.94
| 0KZA Stock | 40.19 0.55 1.35% |
0KZA |
SM Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 37.94
The tendency of 0KZA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 37.94 or more in 90 days |
| 40.19 | 90 days | 37.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SM Energy to drop to 37.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SM Energy Co probability density function shows the probability of 0KZA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SM Energy price to stay between 37.94 and its current price of 40.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SM Energy has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SM Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SM Energy Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SM Energy Co has an alpha of 0.0504, implying that it can generate a 0.0504 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SM Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SM Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SM Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SM Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SM Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SM Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SM Energy Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SM Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0092 |
SM Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SM Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SM Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SM Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SM Energy Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat |
SM Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0KZA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SM Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SM Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 616.2 M |
SM Energy Technical Analysis
SM Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0KZA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SM Energy Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0KZA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SM Energy Predictive Forecast Models
SM Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many SM Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SM Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SM Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about SM Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SM Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SM Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SM Energy Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for 0KZA Stock Analysis
When running SM Energy's price analysis, check to measure SM Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SM Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SM Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SM Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SM Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SM Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.