SM Energy (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.19

0KZA Stock   40.19  0.55  1.35%   
SM Energy's future price is the expected price of SM Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SM Energy Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SM Energy Backtesting, SM Energy Valuation, SM Energy Correlation, SM Energy Hype Analysis, SM Energy Volatility, SM Energy History as well as SM Energy Performance.
  
Please specify SM Energy's target price for which you would like SM Energy odds to be computed.

SM Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 40.19

The tendency of 0KZA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 40.19 90 days 40.19 
about 89.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SM Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.08 (This SM Energy Co probability density function shows the probability of 0KZA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SM Energy has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SM Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SM Energy Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SM Energy Co has an alpha of 0.0504, implying that it can generate a 0.0504 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SM Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SM Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SM Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.9240.4142.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1934.6844.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.3536.8539.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.7643.5047.24
Details

SM Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SM Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SM Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SM Energy Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SM Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.0092

SM Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SM Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SM Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SM Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: SM Energy Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat

SM Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0KZA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SM Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SM Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments616.2 M

SM Energy Technical Analysis

SM Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0KZA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SM Energy Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0KZA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SM Energy Predictive Forecast Models

SM Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many SM Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SM Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SM Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about SM Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SM Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SM Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: SM Energy Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for 0KZA Stock Analysis

When running SM Energy's price analysis, check to measure SM Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SM Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SM Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SM Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SM Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SM Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.