OTP Bank (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11763.24
| 0M69 Stock | 12,590 0.00 0.00% |
OTP |
OTP Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 11763.24
The tendency of OTP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11,763 or more in 90 days |
| 12,590 | 90 days | 11,763 | about 23.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OTP Bank to drop to 11,763 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.44 (This OTP Bank Nyrt probability density function shows the probability of OTP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OTP Bank Nyrt price to stay between 11,763 and its current price of 12590.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OTP Bank Nyrt has a beta of -2.27. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding OTP Bank Nyrt are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, OTP Bank is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover OTP Bank Nyrt has an alpha of 1.0874, implying that it can generate a 1.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OTP Bank Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for OTP Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OTP Bank Nyrt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OTP Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OTP Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OTP Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OTP Bank Nyrt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OTP Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,754 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
OTP Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OTP Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OTP Bank Nyrt can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OTP Bank Nyrt is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| OTP Bank Nyrt appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
OTP Bank Technical Analysis
OTP Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OTP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OTP Bank Nyrt. In general, you should focus on analyzing OTP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OTP Bank Predictive Forecast Models
OTP Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many OTP Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OTP Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OTP Bank Nyrt
Checking the ongoing alerts about OTP Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OTP Bank Nyrt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OTP Bank Nyrt is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| OTP Bank Nyrt appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for OTP Stock Analysis
When running OTP Bank's price analysis, check to measure OTP Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OTP Bank is operating at the current time. Most of OTP Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OTP Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OTP Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OTP Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.