Sligro Food (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.16
| 0MKM Stock | 11.15 0.17 1.55% |
Sligro |
Sligro Food Target Price Odds to finish over 12.16
The tendency of Sligro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 12.16 or more in 90 days |
| 11.15 | 90 days | 12.16 | about 15.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sligro Food to move over 12.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.52 (This Sligro Food Group probability density function shows the probability of Sligro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sligro Food Group price to stay between its current price of 11.15 and 12.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sligro Food Group has a beta of -0.0049. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sligro Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sligro Food Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sligro Food Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sligro Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sligro Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sligro Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sligro Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sligro Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sligro Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sligro Food Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sligro Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0049 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Sligro Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sligro Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sligro Food Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sligro Food Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sligro Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sligro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sligro Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sligro Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Sligro Food Technical Analysis
Sligro Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sligro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sligro Food Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sligro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sligro Food Predictive Forecast Models
Sligro Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sligro Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sligro Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sligro Food Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sligro Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sligro Food Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sligro Food Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Sligro Stock Analysis
When running Sligro Food's price analysis, check to measure Sligro Food's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sligro Food is operating at the current time. Most of Sligro Food's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sligro Food's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sligro Food's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sligro Food to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.