Mawer Equity A Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 105.18

0P0000716B  CAD 103.42  0.36  0.35%   
Mawer Equity's future price is the expected price of Mawer Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mawer Equity A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mawer Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mawer Equity Correlation, Mawer Equity Hype Analysis, Mawer Equity Volatility, Mawer Equity History as well as Mawer Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Mawer Equity's target price for which you would like Mawer Equity odds to be computed.

Mawer Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 105.18

The tendency of Mawer Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 105.18  or more in 90 days
 103.42 90 days 105.18 
roughly 2.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mawer Equity to move over C$ 105.18  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.2 (This Mawer Equity A probability density function shows the probability of Mawer Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mawer Equity A price to stay between its current price of C$ 103.42  and C$ 105.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mawer Equity has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mawer Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mawer Equity A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mawer Equity A has an alpha of 0.13, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mawer Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mawer Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawer Equity A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.82103.42104.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.08110.62111.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.19102.80103.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.91103.53104.14
Details

Mawer Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mawer Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mawer Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mawer Equity A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mawer Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Mawer Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mawer Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mawer Equity A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.8% of its total net assets in equities

Mawer Equity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mawer Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mawer Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mawer Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Mawer Equity Technical Analysis

Mawer Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mawer Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mawer Equity A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mawer Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mawer Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Mawer Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mawer Equity's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mawer Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mawer Equity A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mawer Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mawer Equity A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.8% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in Mawer Fund

Mawer Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mawer Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mawer with respect to the benefits of owning Mawer Equity security.
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