Mawer Global Small Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 15.71
| 0P00009XRG | CAD 15.91 0.04 0.25% |
Mawer |
Mawer Global Target Price Odds to finish over 15.71
The tendency of Mawer Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 15.71 in 90 days |
| 15.91 | 90 days | 15.71 | about 63.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mawer Global to stay above C$ 15.71 in 90 days from now is about 63.79 (This Mawer Global Small probability density function shows the probability of Mawer Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mawer Global Small price to stay between C$ 15.71 and its current price of C$15.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mawer Global Small has a beta of -0.0536. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mawer Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mawer Global Small is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mawer Global Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mawer Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mawer Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawer Global Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mawer Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mawer Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mawer Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mawer Global Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mawer Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0015 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Mawer Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mawer Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mawer Global Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mawer Global Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 8.3% of its total net assets in cash |
Mawer Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mawer Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mawer Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mawer Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Mawer Global Technical Analysis
Mawer Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mawer Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mawer Global Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mawer Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mawer Global Predictive Forecast Models
Mawer Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mawer Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mawer Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mawer Global Small
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mawer Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mawer Global Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mawer Global Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 8.3% of its total net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Mawer Fund
Mawer Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mawer Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mawer with respect to the benefits of owning Mawer Global security.
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