Yum Brands (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 136.51
| 0QYD Stock | 135.08 0.86 0.63% |
Yum |
Yum Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 136.51
The tendency of Yum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 136.51 after 90 days |
| 135.08 | 90 days | 136.51 | about 69.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yum Brands to stay under 136.51 after 90 days from now is about 69.71 (This Yum Brands probability density function shows the probability of Yum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yum Brands price to stay between its current price of 135.08 and 136.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yum Brands has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yum Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yum Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yum Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Yum Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yum Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yum Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yum Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yum Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yum Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yum Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yum Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Yum Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yum Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yum Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yum Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How the price action is used to our Advantage - Stock Traders Daily |
Yum Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yum Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yum Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 285 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 536 M |
Yum Brands Technical Analysis
Yum Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yum Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yum Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Yum Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Yum Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yum Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yum Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yum Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yum Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yum Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How the price action is used to our Advantage - Stock Traders Daily |
Additional Tools for Yum Stock Analysis
When running Yum Brands' price analysis, check to measure Yum Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yum Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Yum Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yum Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yum Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yum Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.