Booking Holdings (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,653
| 0W2Y Stock | 5,075 82.45 1.65% |
Booking |
Booking Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3,653
The tendency of Booking Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 5,075 | 90 days | 5,075 | about 77.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Booking Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 77.54 (This Booking Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Booking Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Booking Holdings has a beta of -2.29. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Booking Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Booking Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Booking Holdings has an alpha of 1.5457, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Booking Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Booking Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Booking Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Booking Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Booking Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Booking Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Booking Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Booking Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 548.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Booking Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Booking Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Booking Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Booking Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Booking Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Booking Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Returns On Capital At CVR Energy Paint A Concerning Picture - Yahoo Finance |
Booking Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Booking Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Booking Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Booking Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.7 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 35 |
Booking Holdings Technical Analysis
Booking Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Booking Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Booking Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Booking Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Booking Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Booking Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Booking Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Booking Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Booking Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Booking Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Booking Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Booking Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Booking Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Booking Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Returns On Capital At CVR Energy Paint A Concerning Picture - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Booking Stock Analysis
When running Booking Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Booking Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Booking Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Booking Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Booking Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Booking Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Booking Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.