WPP PLC (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.78

0WP Stock  EUR 9.95  0.00  0.00%   
WPP PLC's future price is the expected price of WPP PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WPP PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WPP PLC Backtesting, WPP PLC Valuation, WPP PLC Correlation, WPP PLC Hype Analysis, WPP PLC Volatility, WPP PLC History as well as WPP PLC Performance.
  
Please specify WPP PLC's target price for which you would like WPP PLC odds to be computed.

WPP PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 4.78

The tendency of WPP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 4.78  or more in 90 days
 9.95 90 days 4.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WPP PLC to drop to € 4.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This WPP PLC probability density function shows the probability of WPP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WPP PLC price to stay between € 4.78  and its current price of €9.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon WPP PLC has a beta of -0.0843. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding WPP PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, WPP PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally WPP PLC has an alpha of 0.1756, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WPP PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WPP PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WPP PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.339.9511.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.958.5710.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.709.3210.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.7410.2410.74
Details

WPP PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WPP PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WPP PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WPP PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WPP PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

WPP PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WPP PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WPP PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €3.8 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
WPP PLC has accumulated 3.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 67.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. WPP PLC has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WPP PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WPP PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WPP PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WPP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WPP PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of WPP PLC shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

WPP PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WPP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WPP PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WPP PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

WPP PLC Technical Analysis

WPP PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WPP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WPP PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing WPP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WPP PLC Predictive Forecast Models

WPP PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many WPP PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WPP PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WPP PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about WPP PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WPP PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €3.8 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
WPP PLC has accumulated 3.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 67.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. WPP PLC has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WPP PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WPP PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WPP PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WPP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WPP PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of WPP PLC shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in WPP Stock

WPP PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether WPP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WPP with respect to the benefits of owning WPP PLC security.