Wyndham Hotels (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 81.26

0YTR Stock   101.85  0.47  0.46%   
Wyndham Hotels' future price is the expected price of Wyndham Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wyndham Hotels Resorts performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wyndham Hotels Backtesting, Wyndham Hotels Valuation, Wyndham Hotels Correlation, Wyndham Hotels Hype Analysis, Wyndham Hotels Volatility, Wyndham Hotels History as well as Wyndham Hotels Performance.
  
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Wyndham Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 81.26

The tendency of Wyndham Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  81.26  in 90 days
 101.85 90 days 81.26 
about 86.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wyndham Hotels to stay above  81.26  in 90 days from now is about 86.21 (This Wyndham Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Wyndham Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wyndham Hotels Resorts price to stay between  81.26  and its current price of 101.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wyndham Hotels has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wyndham Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wyndham Hotels Resorts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wyndham Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.3648, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wyndham Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wyndham Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wyndham Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.00101.87103.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.67113.62115.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.9799.84101.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.37101.11124.85
Details

Wyndham Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wyndham Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wyndham Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wyndham Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wyndham Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
9.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Wyndham Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wyndham Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wyndham Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: TCW Group Inc. Sells 9,468 Shares of Wyndham Hotels Resorts, Inc. - MarketBeat

Wyndham Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wyndham Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wyndham Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wyndham Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0149
Shares Float76.8 M

Wyndham Hotels Technical Analysis

Wyndham Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wyndham Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wyndham Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wyndham Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wyndham Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Wyndham Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Wyndham Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wyndham Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wyndham Hotels Resorts

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wyndham Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wyndham Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: TCW Group Inc. Sells 9,468 Shares of Wyndham Hotels Resorts, Inc. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Wyndham Stock Analysis

When running Wyndham Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Wyndham Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wyndham Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Wyndham Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wyndham Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wyndham Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wyndham Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.