Seoam Machinery (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3750.0
| 100660 Stock | KRW 3,405 305.00 9.84% |
Seoam |
Seoam Machinery Target Price Odds to finish below 3750.0
The tendency of Seoam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under W 3,750 after 90 days |
| 3,405 | 90 days | 3,750 | about 27.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seoam Machinery to stay under W 3,750 after 90 days from now is about 27.34 (This Seoam Machinery Industry probability density function shows the probability of Seoam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seoam Machinery Industry price to stay between its current price of W 3,405 and W 3,750 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seoam Machinery has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Seoam Machinery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seoam Machinery Industry will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seoam Machinery Industry has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seoam Machinery Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Seoam Machinery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seoam Machinery Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seoam Machinery Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seoam Machinery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seoam Machinery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seoam Machinery Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seoam Machinery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 196.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Seoam Machinery Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seoam Machinery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seoam Machinery Industry can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seoam Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seoam Machinery has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Seoam Machinery Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seoam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seoam Machinery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seoam Machinery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 441 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.3 B |
Seoam Machinery Technical Analysis
Seoam Machinery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seoam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seoam Machinery Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seoam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seoam Machinery Predictive Forecast Models
Seoam Machinery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seoam Machinery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seoam Machinery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seoam Machinery Industry
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seoam Machinery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seoam Machinery Industry help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seoam Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seoam Machinery has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Seoam Stock
Seoam Machinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seoam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seoam with respect to the benefits of owning Seoam Machinery security.