N Citron (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 394.57

101400 Stock  KRW 398.00  2.00  0.50%   
N Citron's future price is the expected price of N Citron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of N Citron performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out N Citron Backtesting, N Citron Valuation, N Citron Correlation, N Citron Hype Analysis, N Citron Volatility, N Citron History as well as N Citron Performance.
  
Please specify N Citron's target price for which you would like N Citron odds to be computed.

N Citron Target Price Odds to finish over 394.57

The tendency of 101400 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 394.57  in 90 days
 398.00 90 days 394.57 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of N Citron to stay above W 394.57  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This N Citron probability density function shows the probability of 101400 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of N Citron price to stay between W 394.57  and its current price of W398.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon N Citron has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, N Citron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding N Citron will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally N Citron has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   N Citron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for N Citron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as N Citron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
396.39398.00399.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
344.65346.26437.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
392.95394.57396.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
399.40402.96406.53
Details

N Citron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. N Citron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the N Citron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold N Citron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of N Citron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
28.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

N Citron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of N Citron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for N Citron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
N Citron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
N Citron has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 15.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (840.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.51 B.
N Citron has accumulated about 15.61 B in cash with (541.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.2.
Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

N Citron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 101400 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential N Citron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. N Citron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.6 B
Shares Float23.9 M

N Citron Technical Analysis

N Citron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 101400 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of N Citron. In general, you should focus on analyzing 101400 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

N Citron Predictive Forecast Models

N Citron's time-series forecasting models is one of many N Citron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary N Citron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about N Citron

Checking the ongoing alerts about N Citron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for N Citron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
N Citron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
N Citron has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 15.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (840.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.51 B.
N Citron has accumulated about 15.61 B in cash with (541.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.2.
Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 101400 Stock

N Citron financial ratios help investors to determine whether 101400 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 101400 with respect to the benefits of owning N Citron security.