Haitai Confectionery (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5820.0
| 101530 Stock | 5,750 340.00 6.28% |
Haitai |
Haitai Confectionery Target Price Odds to finish below 5820.0
The tendency of Haitai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5,820 after 90 days |
| 5,750 | 90 days | 5,820 | about 58.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Haitai Confectionery to stay under 5,820 after 90 days from now is about 58.13 (This Haitai Confectionery Foods probability density function shows the probability of Haitai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Haitai Confectionery price to stay between its current price of 5,750 and 5,820 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Haitai Confectionery Foods has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Haitai Confectionery are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Haitai Confectionery Foods is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Haitai Confectionery Foods has an alpha of 0.0557, implying that it can generate a 0.0557 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Haitai Confectionery Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Haitai Confectionery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haitai Confectionery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Haitai Confectionery Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Haitai Confectionery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Haitai Confectionery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Haitai Confectionery Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Haitai Confectionery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 189.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Haitai Confectionery Technical Analysis
Haitai Confectionery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Haitai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Haitai Confectionery Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Haitai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Haitai Confectionery Predictive Forecast Models
Haitai Confectionery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Haitai Confectionery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Haitai Confectionery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Haitai Confectionery in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Haitai Confectionery's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Haitai Confectionery options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Haitai Stock
Haitai Confectionery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Haitai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Haitai with respect to the benefits of owning Haitai Confectionery security.