Miwon Chemicals (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80000.0
| 134380 Stock | 80,500 1,200 1.51% |
Miwon |
Miwon Chemicals Target Price Odds to finish below 80000.0
The tendency of Miwon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 80,000 or more in 90 days |
| 80,500 | 90 days | 80,000 | about 73.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Miwon Chemicals to drop to 80,000 or more in 90 days from now is about 73.47 (This Miwon Chemicals Co probability density function shows the probability of Miwon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Miwon Chemicals price to stay between 80,000 and its current price of 80500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Miwon Chemicals Co has a beta of -0.085. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Miwon Chemicals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Miwon Chemicals Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Miwon Chemicals Co has an alpha of 0.0111, implying that it can generate a 0.0111 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Miwon Chemicals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Miwon Chemicals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Miwon Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Miwon Chemicals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Miwon Chemicals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Miwon Chemicals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Miwon Chemicals Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Miwon Chemicals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 935.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Miwon Chemicals Technical Analysis
Miwon Chemicals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Miwon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Miwon Chemicals Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Miwon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Miwon Chemicals Predictive Forecast Models
Miwon Chemicals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Miwon Chemicals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Miwon Chemicals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Miwon Chemicals in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Miwon Chemicals' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Miwon Chemicals options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Miwon Stock
Miwon Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Miwon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Miwon with respect to the benefits of owning Miwon Chemicals security.