Cheryong Industrial (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6,909

147830 Stock  KRW 5,330  80.00  1.52%   
Cheryong Industrial's future price is the expected price of Cheryong Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cheryong Industrial CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cheryong Industrial Backtesting, Cheryong Industrial Valuation, Cheryong Industrial Correlation, Cheryong Industrial Hype Analysis, Cheryong Industrial Volatility, Cheryong Industrial History as well as Cheryong Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify Cheryong Industrial's target price for which you would like Cheryong Industrial odds to be computed.

Cheryong Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 6,909

The tendency of Cheryong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 5,330 90 days 5,330 
about 9.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheryong Industrial to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 9.78 (This Cheryong Industrial CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Cheryong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cheryong Industrial has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cheryong Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheryong Industrial CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheryong Industrial CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cheryong Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheryong Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheryong Industrial CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,2465,2505,254
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,6684,6715,775
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1275,1305,134
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,7765,7956,814
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cheryong Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cheryong Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cheryong Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cheryong Industrial CoLtd.

Cheryong Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheryong Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheryong Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheryong Industrial CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheryong Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
604.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Cheryong Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheryong Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheryong Industrial CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheryong Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cheryong Industrial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Cheryong Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheryong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheryong Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheryong Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M
Cash And Short Term Investments55.4 B

Cheryong Industrial Technical Analysis

Cheryong Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheryong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cheryong Industrial CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheryong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cheryong Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Cheryong Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheryong Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheryong Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cheryong Industrial CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheryong Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheryong Industrial CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheryong Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cheryong Industrial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Cheryong Stock

Cheryong Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cheryong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cheryong with respect to the benefits of owning Cheryong Industrial security.