Biostar Microtech (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.2
| 2399 Stock | TWD 29.05 0.35 1.22% |
Biostar |
Biostar Microtech Target Price Odds to finish below 23.2
The tendency of Biostar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 23.20 or more in 90 days |
| 29.05 | 90 days | 23.20 | about 5.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biostar Microtech to drop to NT$ 23.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.5 (This Biostar Microtech International probability density function shows the probability of Biostar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Biostar Microtech price to stay between NT$ 23.20 and its current price of NT$29.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Biostar Microtech has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Biostar Microtech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Biostar Microtech International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Biostar Microtech International has an alpha of 0.3342, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Biostar Microtech Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Biostar Microtech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biostar Microtech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Biostar Microtech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biostar Microtech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biostar Microtech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biostar Microtech International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biostar Microtech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Biostar Microtech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biostar Microtech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biostar Microtech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Biostar Microtech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Biostar Microtech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Biostar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Biostar Microtech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biostar Microtech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 71.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.2 M |
Biostar Microtech Technical Analysis
Biostar Microtech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biostar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biostar Microtech International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biostar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Biostar Microtech Predictive Forecast Models
Biostar Microtech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Biostar Microtech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biostar Microtech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Biostar Microtech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Biostar Microtech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biostar Microtech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Biostar Microtech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Biostar Stock Analysis
When running Biostar Microtech's price analysis, check to measure Biostar Microtech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biostar Microtech is operating at the current time. Most of Biostar Microtech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biostar Microtech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biostar Microtech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biostar Microtech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.