Gigastorage Corp (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.57
| 2406 Stock | TWD 15.40 0.60 3.75% |
Gigastorage |
Gigastorage Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 14.57
The tendency of Gigastorage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 14.57 in 90 days |
| 15.40 | 90 days | 14.57 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gigastorage Corp to stay above NT$ 14.57 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Gigastorage Corp probability density function shows the probability of Gigastorage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gigastorage Corp price to stay between NT$ 14.57 and its current price of NT$15.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gigastorage Corp has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Gigastorage Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gigastorage Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gigastorage Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gigastorage Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gigastorage Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gigastorage Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gigastorage Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gigastorage Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gigastorage Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gigastorage Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gigastorage Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Gigastorage Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gigastorage Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gigastorage Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gigastorage Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Gigastorage Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gigastorage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gigastorage Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gigastorage Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 290.6 M |
Gigastorage Corp Technical Analysis
Gigastorage Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gigastorage Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gigastorage Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gigastorage Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gigastorage Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Gigastorage Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gigastorage Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gigastorage Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gigastorage Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gigastorage Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gigastorage Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gigastorage Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Gigastorage Stock Analysis
When running Gigastorage Corp's price analysis, check to measure Gigastorage Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gigastorage Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Gigastorage Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gigastorage Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gigastorage Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gigastorage Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.