Space Shuttle (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.7

2440 Stock  TWD 12.90  0.40  3.20%   
Space Shuttle's future price is the expected price of Space Shuttle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Space Shuttle Hi Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Space Shuttle Backtesting, Space Shuttle Valuation, Space Shuttle Correlation, Space Shuttle Hype Analysis, Space Shuttle Volatility, Space Shuttle History as well as Space Shuttle Performance.
  
Please specify Space Shuttle's target price for which you would like Space Shuttle odds to be computed.

Space Shuttle Target Price Odds to finish over 12.7

The tendency of Space Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 12.70  in 90 days
 12.90 90 days 12.70 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Space Shuttle to stay above NT$ 12.70  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Space Shuttle Hi Tech probability density function shows the probability of Space Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Space Shuttle Hi price to stay between NT$ 12.70  and its current price of NT$12.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Space Shuttle has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Space Shuttle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Space Shuttle Hi Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Space Shuttle Hi Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Space Shuttle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Space Shuttle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Space Shuttle Hi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0112.9014.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7312.6214.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5612.4514.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6913.0713.44
Details

Space Shuttle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Space Shuttle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Space Shuttle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Space Shuttle Hi Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Space Shuttle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Space Shuttle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Space Shuttle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Space Shuttle Hi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Space Shuttle Hi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Space Shuttle Hi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Space Shuttle Hi Tech has accumulated about 274.01 M in cash with (103.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.97.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Space Shuttle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Space Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Space Shuttle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Space Shuttle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.1 M

Space Shuttle Technical Analysis

Space Shuttle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Space Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Space Shuttle Hi Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Space Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Space Shuttle Predictive Forecast Models

Space Shuttle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Space Shuttle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Space Shuttle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Space Shuttle Hi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Space Shuttle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Space Shuttle Hi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Space Shuttle Hi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Space Shuttle Hi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Space Shuttle Hi Tech has accumulated about 274.01 M in cash with (103.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.97.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Space Stock Analysis

When running Space Shuttle's price analysis, check to measure Space Shuttle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Space Shuttle is operating at the current time. Most of Space Shuttle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Space Shuttle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Space Shuttle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Space Shuttle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.