Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.97
| 2445 Stock | 21.40 0.10 0.47% |
Kuala |
Kuala Lumpur Target Price Odds to finish over 21.97
The tendency of Kuala Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 21.97 or more in 90 days |
| 21.40 | 90 days | 21.97 | about 12.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kuala Lumpur to move over 21.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.1 (This Kuala Lumpur Kepong probability density function shows the probability of Kuala Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kuala Lumpur Kepong price to stay between its current price of 21.40 and 21.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kuala Lumpur Kepong has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kuala Lumpur are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kuala Lumpur Kepong is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kuala Lumpur Kepong has an alpha of 0.0654, implying that it can generate a 0.0654 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kuala Lumpur Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kuala Lumpur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuala Lumpur Kepong. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kuala Lumpur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kuala Lumpur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kuala Lumpur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kuala Lumpur Kepong, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kuala Lumpur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Kuala Lumpur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kuala Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kuala Lumpur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kuala Lumpur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
Kuala Lumpur Technical Analysis
Kuala Lumpur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kuala Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kuala Lumpur Kepong. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kuala Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kuala Lumpur Predictive Forecast Models
Kuala Lumpur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kuala Lumpur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kuala Lumpur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kuala Lumpur in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kuala Lumpur's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kuala Lumpur options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Kuala Stock
Kuala Lumpur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kuala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kuala with respect to the benefits of owning Kuala Lumpur security.