Pan Jit (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.83
| 2481 Stock | TWD 51.90 0.20 0.39% |
Pan |
Pan Jit Target Price Odds to finish below 53.83
The tendency of Pan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 53.83 after 90 days |
| 51.90 | 90 days | 53.83 | about 30.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pan Jit to stay under NT$ 53.83 after 90 days from now is about 30.59 (This Pan Jit International probability density function shows the probability of Pan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pan Jit International price to stay between its current price of NT$ 51.90 and NT$ 53.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pan Jit has a beta of 0.7. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pan Jit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pan Jit International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pan Jit International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pan Jit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pan Jit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Jit International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pan Jit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pan Jit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pan Jit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pan Jit International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pan Jit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Pan Jit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pan Jit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pan Jit International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pan Jit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pan Jit has accumulated NT$4.55 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Pan Jit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pan Jit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan Jit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382.1 M |
Pan Jit Technical Analysis
Pan Jit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pan Jit International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pan Jit Predictive Forecast Models
Pan Jit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pan Jit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pan Jit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pan Jit International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pan Jit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pan Jit International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pan Jit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pan Jit has accumulated NT$4.55 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Pan Stock Analysis
When running Pan Jit's price analysis, check to measure Pan Jit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan Jit is operating at the current time. Most of Pan Jit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan Jit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan Jit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan Jit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.