Infortrend Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.66
| 2495 Stock | TWD 31.00 0.05 0.16% |
Infortrend |
Infortrend Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 27.66
The tendency of Infortrend Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 27.66 or more in 90 days |
| 31.00 | 90 days | 27.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infortrend Technology to drop to NT$ 27.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Infortrend Technology probability density function shows the probability of Infortrend Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Infortrend Technology price to stay between NT$ 27.66 and its current price of NT$31.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Infortrend Technology has a beta of 0.0435. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Infortrend Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infortrend Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Infortrend Technology has an alpha of 0.0348, implying that it can generate a 0.0348 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Infortrend Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Infortrend Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infortrend Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Infortrend Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infortrend Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infortrend Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infortrend Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infortrend Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Infortrend Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infortrend Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infortrend Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Infortrend Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Infortrend Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Infortrend Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infortrend Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infortrend Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infortrend Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 273.6 M |
Infortrend Technology Technical Analysis
Infortrend Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infortrend Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infortrend Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infortrend Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Infortrend Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Infortrend Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Infortrend Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Infortrend Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Infortrend Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Infortrend Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infortrend Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Infortrend Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Infortrend Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Infortrend Stock Analysis
When running Infortrend Technology's price analysis, check to measure Infortrend Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infortrend Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Infortrend Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infortrend Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infortrend Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infortrend Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.