Kindom Construction (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58.13

2520 Stock  TWD 54.30  1.80  3.21%   
Kindom Construction's future price is the expected price of Kindom Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kindom Construction Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kindom Construction Backtesting, Kindom Construction Valuation, Kindom Construction Correlation, Kindom Construction Hype Analysis, Kindom Construction Volatility, Kindom Construction History as well as Kindom Construction Performance.
  
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Kindom Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 58.13

The tendency of Kindom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 58.13  after 90 days
 54.30 90 days 58.13 
about 91.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kindom Construction to stay under NT$ 58.13  after 90 days from now is about 91.98 (This Kindom Construction Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kindom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kindom Construction Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 54.30  and NT$ 58.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kindom Construction has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kindom Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kindom Construction Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kindom Construction Corp has an alpha of 0.0869, implying that it can generate a 0.0869 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kindom Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kindom Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kindom Construction Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0754.3056.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.2245.4559.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.1750.4052.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.4355.1763.92
Details

Kindom Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kindom Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kindom Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kindom Construction Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kindom Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
4.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Kindom Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kindom Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kindom Construction Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kindom Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kindom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kindom Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kindom Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding542.5 M

Kindom Construction Technical Analysis

Kindom Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kindom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kindom Construction Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kindom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kindom Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Kindom Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kindom Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kindom Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kindom Construction Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kindom Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kindom Construction Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Kindom Stock Analysis

When running Kindom Construction's price analysis, check to measure Kindom Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kindom Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Kindom Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kindom Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kindom Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kindom Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.