Tofu Restaurant (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 254.78

2752 Stock  TWD 240.00  10.00  4.00%   
Tofu Restaurant's future price is the expected price of Tofu Restaurant instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tofu Restaurant Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tofu Restaurant Backtesting, Tofu Restaurant Valuation, Tofu Restaurant Correlation, Tofu Restaurant Hype Analysis, Tofu Restaurant Volatility, Tofu Restaurant History as well as Tofu Restaurant Performance.
  
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Tofu Restaurant Target Price Odds to finish over 254.78

The tendency of Tofu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 254.78  or more in 90 days
 240.00 90 days 254.78 
about 29.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tofu Restaurant to move over NT$ 254.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.03 (This Tofu Restaurant Co probability density function shows the probability of Tofu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tofu Restaurant price to stay between its current price of NT$ 240.00  and NT$ 254.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tofu Restaurant has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tofu Restaurant average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tofu Restaurant Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tofu Restaurant Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tofu Restaurant Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tofu Restaurant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tofu Restaurant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
238.24240.00241.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
216.64218.40264.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
248.12249.88251.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
228.59248.57268.55
Details

Tofu Restaurant Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tofu Restaurant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tofu Restaurant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tofu Restaurant Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tofu Restaurant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
8.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Tofu Restaurant Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tofu Restaurant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tofu Restaurant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tofu Restaurant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tofu Restaurant Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tofu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tofu Restaurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tofu Restaurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23 M

Tofu Restaurant Technical Analysis

Tofu Restaurant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tofu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tofu Restaurant Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tofu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tofu Restaurant Predictive Forecast Models

Tofu Restaurant's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tofu Restaurant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tofu Restaurant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tofu Restaurant

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tofu Restaurant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tofu Restaurant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tofu Restaurant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Tofu Stock Analysis

When running Tofu Restaurant's price analysis, check to measure Tofu Restaurant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tofu Restaurant is operating at the current time. Most of Tofu Restaurant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tofu Restaurant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tofu Restaurant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tofu Restaurant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.