Jeju Beer (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3195.0

276730 Stock   3,250  115.00  3.67%   
Jeju Beer's future price is the expected price of Jeju Beer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jeju Beer Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jeju Beer Backtesting, Jeju Beer Valuation, Jeju Beer Correlation, Jeju Beer Hype Analysis, Jeju Beer Volatility, Jeju Beer History as well as Jeju Beer Performance.
  
Please specify Jeju Beer's target price for which you would like Jeju Beer odds to be computed.

Jeju Beer Target Price Odds to finish over 3195.0

The tendency of Jeju Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  3,195  in 90 days
 3,250 90 days 3,195 
about 39.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jeju Beer to stay above  3,195  in 90 days from now is about 39.56 (This Jeju Beer Co probability density function shows the probability of Jeju Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jeju Beer price to stay between  3,195  and its current price of 3250.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jeju Beer has a beta of 0.92. This suggests Jeju Beer Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jeju Beer is expected to follow. Additionally Jeju Beer Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jeju Beer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jeju Beer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jeju Beer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,2463,2503,254
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7712,7763,575
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,2223,2263,230
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,8953,0743,254
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jeju Beer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jeju Beer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jeju Beer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jeju Beer.

Jeju Beer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jeju Beer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jeju Beer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jeju Beer Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jeju Beer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.92
σ
Overall volatility
505.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Jeju Beer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jeju Beer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jeju Beer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jeju Beer had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Jeju Beer Technical Analysis

Jeju Beer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jeju Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jeju Beer Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jeju Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jeju Beer Predictive Forecast Models

Jeju Beer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jeju Beer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jeju Beer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jeju Beer

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jeju Beer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jeju Beer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jeju Beer had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Jeju Stock

Jeju Beer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jeju Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jeju with respect to the benefits of owning Jeju Beer security.