COWINTECH (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14000.0

282880 Stock  KRW 12,750  1,100  9.44%   
COWINTECH's future price is the expected price of COWINTECH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COWINTECH Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out COWINTECH Backtesting, COWINTECH Valuation, COWINTECH Correlation, COWINTECH Hype Analysis, COWINTECH Volatility, COWINTECH History as well as COWINTECH Performance.
  
Please specify COWINTECH's target price for which you would like COWINTECH odds to be computed.

COWINTECH Target Price Odds to finish below 14000.0

The tendency of COWINTECH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 14,000  after 90 days
 12,750 90 days 14,000 
about 32.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COWINTECH to stay under W 14,000  after 90 days from now is about 32.7 (This COWINTECH Co probability density function shows the probability of COWINTECH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COWINTECH price to stay between its current price of W 12,750  and W 14,000  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COWINTECH Co has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding COWINTECH are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, COWINTECH Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally COWINTECH Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   COWINTECH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COWINTECH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COWINTECH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,74512,75012,755
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,61811,62414,025
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12,22712,23212,238
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11,90314,19216,480
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COWINTECH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COWINTECH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COWINTECH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in COWINTECH.

COWINTECH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COWINTECH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COWINTECH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COWINTECH Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COWINTECH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1,149
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

COWINTECH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COWINTECH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COWINTECH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COWINTECH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
COWINTECH has high historical volatility and very poor performance
COWINTECH Co has accumulated about 42.04 B in cash with (192.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

COWINTECH Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of COWINTECH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential COWINTECH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COWINTECH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.7 M
Dividends Paid1.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments56.5 B
Shares Float4.9 M

COWINTECH Technical Analysis

COWINTECH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COWINTECH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COWINTECH Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing COWINTECH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COWINTECH Predictive Forecast Models

COWINTECH's time-series forecasting models is one of many COWINTECH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COWINTECH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COWINTECH

Checking the ongoing alerts about COWINTECH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COWINTECH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COWINTECH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
COWINTECH has high historical volatility and very poor performance
COWINTECH Co has accumulated about 42.04 B in cash with (192.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in COWINTECH Stock

COWINTECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether COWINTECH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COWINTECH with respect to the benefits of owning COWINTECH security.