Central Reinsurance (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.27
| 2851 Stock | TWD 25.80 0.05 0.19% |
Central |
Central Reinsurance Target Price Odds to finish below 26.27
The tendency of Central Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 26.27 after 90 days |
| 25.80 | 90 days | 26.27 | about 53.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Reinsurance to stay under NT$ 26.27 after 90 days from now is about 53.91 (This Central Reinsurance Corp probability density function shows the probability of Central Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Reinsurance Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 25.80 and NT$ 26.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Central Reinsurance has a beta of 0.0657. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Central Reinsurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Central Reinsurance Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Central Reinsurance Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Central Reinsurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Central Reinsurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Reinsurance Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Reinsurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Reinsurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Reinsurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Reinsurance Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Reinsurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Central Reinsurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Reinsurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Reinsurance Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Central Reinsurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Central Reinsurance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Central Reinsurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Central Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Central Reinsurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Reinsurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 590.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 767.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.75 | |
| Shares Float | 282.2 M |
Central Reinsurance Technical Analysis
Central Reinsurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Reinsurance Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Central Reinsurance Predictive Forecast Models
Central Reinsurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Reinsurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Reinsurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Central Reinsurance Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Reinsurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Reinsurance Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Central Reinsurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Central Reinsurance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Central Stock Analysis
When running Central Reinsurance's price analysis, check to measure Central Reinsurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Reinsurance is operating at the current time. Most of Central Reinsurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Reinsurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Reinsurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Reinsurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.