CK HUTCHISON (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.67

2CKA Stock  EUR 4.74  0.04  0.84%   
CK HUTCHISON's future price is the expected price of CK HUTCHISON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CK HUTCHISON HLDGS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CK HUTCHISON Backtesting, CK HUTCHISON Valuation, CK HUTCHISON Correlation, CK HUTCHISON Hype Analysis, CK HUTCHISON Volatility, CK HUTCHISON History as well as CK HUTCHISON Performance.
  
Please specify CK HUTCHISON's target price for which you would like CK HUTCHISON odds to be computed.

CK HUTCHISON Target Price Odds to finish over 10.67

The tendency of 2CKA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 10.67  or more in 90 days
 4.74 90 days 10.67 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CK HUTCHISON to move over € 10.67  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CK HUTCHISON HLDGS probability density function shows the probability of 2CKA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CK HUTCHISON HLDGS price to stay between its current price of € 4.74  and € 10.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CK HUTCHISON has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CK HUTCHISON average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CK HUTCHISON HLDGS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CK HUTCHISON HLDGS has an alpha of 0.0024, implying that it can generate a 0.002413 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CK HUTCHISON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CK HUTCHISON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CK HUTCHISON HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.814.746.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.654.586.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CK HUTCHISON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CK HUTCHISON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CK HUTCHISON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CK HUTCHISON HLDGS.

CK HUTCHISON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CK HUTCHISON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CK HUTCHISON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CK HUTCHISON HLDGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CK HUTCHISON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.0072

CK HUTCHISON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CK HUTCHISON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CK HUTCHISON HLDGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CK HUTCHISON HLDGS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

CK HUTCHISON Technical Analysis

CK HUTCHISON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2CKA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CK HUTCHISON HLDGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 2CKA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CK HUTCHISON Predictive Forecast Models

CK HUTCHISON's time-series forecasting models is one of many CK HUTCHISON's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CK HUTCHISON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CK HUTCHISON HLDGS

Checking the ongoing alerts about CK HUTCHISON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CK HUTCHISON HLDGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CK HUTCHISON HLDGS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 2CKA Stock

CK HUTCHISON financial ratios help investors to determine whether 2CKA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 2CKA with respect to the benefits of owning CK HUTCHISON security.