Hewlett Packard (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.07

2HP Stock  EUR 21.00  0.94  4.28%   
Hewlett Packard's future price is the expected price of Hewlett Packard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hewlett Packard Enterprise performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hewlett Packard Backtesting, Hewlett Packard Valuation, Hewlett Packard Correlation, Hewlett Packard Hype Analysis, Hewlett Packard Volatility, Hewlett Packard History as well as Hewlett Packard Performance.
  
Please specify Hewlett Packard's target price for which you would like Hewlett Packard odds to be computed.

Hewlett Packard Target Price Odds to finish over 17.07

The tendency of Hewlett Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 17.07  in 90 days
 21.00 90 days 17.07 
about 84.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hewlett Packard to stay above € 17.07  in 90 days from now is about 84.67 (This Hewlett Packard Enterprise probability density function shows the probability of Hewlett Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hewlett Packard Ente price to stay between € 17.07  and its current price of €21.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hewlett Packard has a beta of 0.92. This suggests Hewlett Packard Enterprise market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hewlett Packard is expected to follow. Additionally Hewlett Packard Enterprise has an alpha of 0.4521, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hewlett Packard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hewlett Packard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hewlett Packard Ente. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3721.0023.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9023.8926.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9321.5624.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.2720.8422.41
Details

Hewlett Packard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hewlett Packard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hewlett Packard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hewlett Packard Enterprise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hewlett Packard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.92
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Hewlett Packard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hewlett Packard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hewlett Packard Ente can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €7.85 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Hewlett Packard Enterprise has accumulated 7.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 68.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Hewlett Packard Ente has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hewlett Packard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hewlett Packard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hewlett Packard Ente sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hewlett to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hewlett Packard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 85.0% of Hewlett Packard shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Hewlett Packard Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hewlett Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hewlett Packard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hewlett Packard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Hewlett Packard Technical Analysis

Hewlett Packard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hewlett Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hewlett Packard Enterprise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hewlett Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hewlett Packard Predictive Forecast Models

Hewlett Packard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hewlett Packard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hewlett Packard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hewlett Packard Ente

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hewlett Packard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hewlett Packard Ente help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €7.85 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Hewlett Packard Enterprise has accumulated 7.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 68.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Hewlett Packard Ente has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hewlett Packard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hewlett Packard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hewlett Packard Ente sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hewlett to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hewlett Packard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 85.0% of Hewlett Packard shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hewlett Stock

When determining whether Hewlett Packard Ente is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hewlett Packard's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hewlett Packard's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hewlett Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Hewlett Packard Backtesting, Hewlett Packard Valuation, Hewlett Packard Correlation, Hewlett Packard Hype Analysis, Hewlett Packard Volatility, Hewlett Packard History as well as Hewlett Packard Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hewlett Packard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hewlett Packard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hewlett Packard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.