SI TECH (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.12
| 300608 Stock | 13.20 0.08 0.61% |
300608 |
SI TECH Target Price Odds to finish below 13.12
The tendency of 300608 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.12 or more in 90 days |
| 13.20 | 90 days | 13.12 | about 64.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SI TECH to drop to 13.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.27 (This SI TECH Information Technology probability density function shows the probability of 300608 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SI TECH Information price to stay between 13.12 and its current price of 13.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SI TECH has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SI TECH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SI TECH Information Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SI TECH Information Technology has an alpha of 0.7754, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SI TECH Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SI TECH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SI TECH Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SI TECH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SI TECH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SI TECH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SI TECH Information Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SI TECH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
SI TECH Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SI TECH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SI TECH Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SI TECH Information is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SI TECH Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SI TECH generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Further weakness as Beijing Si-Tech Information Technology drops 9.8 percent this week, taking one-year losses to 25 percent - Simply Wall St |
SI TECH Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 300608 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SI TECH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SI TECH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 331.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 692.3 M |
SI TECH Technical Analysis
SI TECH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 300608 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SI TECH Information Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing 300608 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SI TECH Predictive Forecast Models
SI TECH's time-series forecasting models is one of many SI TECH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SI TECH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SI TECH Information
Checking the ongoing alerts about SI TECH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SI TECH Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SI TECH Information is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SI TECH Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SI TECH generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Further weakness as Beijing Si-Tech Information Technology drops 9.8 percent this week, taking one-year losses to 25 percent - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in 300608 Stock
SI TECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether 300608 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 300608 with respect to the benefits of owning SI TECH security.