King-Strong New (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.62

300629 Stock   23.49  0.09  0.38%   
King-Strong New's future price is the expected price of King-Strong New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of King Strong New Material performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out King-Strong New Backtesting, King-Strong New Valuation, King-Strong New Correlation, King-Strong New Hype Analysis, King-Strong New Volatility, King-Strong New History as well as King-Strong New Performance.
  
Please specify King-Strong New's target price for which you would like King-Strong New odds to be computed.

King-Strong New Target Price Odds to finish below 22.62

The tendency of King-Strong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  22.62  or more in 90 days
 23.49 90 days 22.62 
about 85.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of King-Strong New to drop to  22.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.09 (This King Strong New Material probability density function shows the probability of King-Strong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of King Strong New price to stay between  22.62  and its current price of 23.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon King Strong New Material has a beta of -0.0641. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding King-Strong New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, King Strong New Material is likely to outperform the market. Additionally King Strong New Material has an alpha of 0.6188, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   King-Strong New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for King-Strong New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as King Strong New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3623.8028.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1418.5825.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4222.8527.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9022.6325.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as King-Strong New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against King-Strong New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, King-Strong New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in King Strong New.

King-Strong New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. King-Strong New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the King-Strong New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold King Strong New Material, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of King-Strong New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
3.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

King-Strong New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of King-Strong New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for King Strong New can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
King Strong New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
King Strong New is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
King-Strong New generates negative cash flow from operations
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

King-Strong New Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of King-Strong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential King-Strong New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. King-Strong New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237.5 M

King-Strong New Technical Analysis

King-Strong New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. King-Strong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of King Strong New Material. In general, you should focus on analyzing King-Strong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

King-Strong New Predictive Forecast Models

King-Strong New's time-series forecasting models is one of many King-Strong New's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary King-Strong New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about King Strong New

Checking the ongoing alerts about King-Strong New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for King Strong New help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
King Strong New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
King Strong New is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
King-Strong New generates negative cash flow from operations
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in King-Strong Stock

King-Strong New financial ratios help investors to determine whether King-Strong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in King-Strong with respect to the benefits of owning King-Strong New security.