Wah Lee (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 124.07

3010 Stock  TWD 123.00  0.50  0.41%   
Wah Lee's future price is the expected price of Wah Lee instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wah Lee Industrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wah Lee Backtesting, Wah Lee Valuation, Wah Lee Correlation, Wah Lee Hype Analysis, Wah Lee Volatility, Wah Lee History as well as Wah Lee Performance.
  
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Wah Lee Target Price Odds to finish over 124.07

The tendency of Wah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 124.07  or more in 90 days
 123.00 90 days 124.07 
about 58.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wah Lee to move over NT$ 124.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 58.89 (This Wah Lee Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Wah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wah Lee Industrial price to stay between its current price of NT$ 123.00  and NT$ 124.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wah Lee has a beta of 0.59. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wah Lee average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wah Lee Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wah Lee Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wah Lee Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wah Lee

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wah Lee Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.82122.50124.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.20123.88125.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
120.46122.13123.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
120.65122.32123.99
Details

Wah Lee Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wah Lee is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wah Lee's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wah Lee Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wah Lee within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
3.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Wah Lee Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wah Lee for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wah Lee Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wah Lee Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wah Lee Industrial has accumulated NT$5.54 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Wah Lee Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wah Lee's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wah Lee's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding236 M

Wah Lee Technical Analysis

Wah Lee's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wah Lee Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wah Lee Predictive Forecast Models

Wah Lee's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wah Lee's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wah Lee's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wah Lee Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wah Lee for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wah Lee Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wah Lee Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wah Lee Industrial has accumulated NT$5.54 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Wah Stock Analysis

When running Wah Lee's price analysis, check to measure Wah Lee's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wah Lee is operating at the current time. Most of Wah Lee's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wah Lee's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wah Lee's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wah Lee to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.