Jiujiang Shanshui (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.58
| 301190 Stock | 16.61 0.09 0.54% |
Jiujiang |
Jiujiang Shanshui Target Price Odds to finish below 16.58
The tendency of Jiujiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.58 or more in 90 days |
| 16.61 | 90 days | 16.58 | about 86.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jiujiang Shanshui to drop to 16.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.45 (This Jiujiang Shanshui Technology probability density function shows the probability of Jiujiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jiujiang Shanshui price to stay between 16.58 and its current price of 16.61 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jiujiang Shanshui Technology has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jiujiang Shanshui are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jiujiang Shanshui Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jiujiang Shanshui Technology has an alpha of 0.4407, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jiujiang Shanshui Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jiujiang Shanshui
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiujiang Shanshui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jiujiang Shanshui Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jiujiang Shanshui is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jiujiang Shanshui's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jiujiang Shanshui Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jiujiang Shanshui within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Jiujiang Shanshui Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jiujiang Shanshui for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jiujiang Shanshui can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jiujiang Shanshui appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Jiujiang Shanshui Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jiujiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jiujiang Shanshui's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiujiang Shanshui's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 214.6 M |
Jiujiang Shanshui Technical Analysis
Jiujiang Shanshui's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jiujiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jiujiang Shanshui Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jiujiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jiujiang Shanshui Predictive Forecast Models
Jiujiang Shanshui's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jiujiang Shanshui's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jiujiang Shanshui's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jiujiang Shanshui
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jiujiang Shanshui for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jiujiang Shanshui help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jiujiang Shanshui appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Jiujiang Stock
Jiujiang Shanshui financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiujiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiujiang with respect to the benefits of owning Jiujiang Shanshui security.