ABO GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.45
| 3T61 Stock | 4.82 0.10 2.12% |
ABO |
ABO GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 5.45
The tendency of ABO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 5.45 or more in 90 days |
| 4.82 | 90 days | 5.45 | about 30.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABO GROUP to move over 5.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.25 (This ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT probability density function shows the probability of ABO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT price to stay between its current price of 4.82 and 5.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ABO GROUP has a beta of 0.0985. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ABO GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ABO GROUP Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ABO GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ABO GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABO GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABO GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABO GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
ABO GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABO GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ABO GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
ABO GROUP Technical Analysis
ABO GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ABO GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
ABO GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABO GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABO GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT
Checking the ongoing alerts about ABO GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABO GROUP ENVIRONMENT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ABO GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |