KBSTAR Short (Korea) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 11764.9
| 437350 Etf | 12,005 85.00 0.70% |
KBSTAR |
KBSTAR Short Target Price Odds to finish over 11764.9
The tendency of KBSTAR Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 11,765 in 90 days |
| 12,005 | 90 days | 11,765 | about 13.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KBSTAR Short to stay above 11,765 in 90 days from now is about 13.11 (This KBSTAR Short Term IG probability density function shows the probability of KBSTAR Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KBSTAR Short Term price to stay between 11,765 and its current price of 12005.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KBSTAR Short has a beta of 0.0953. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KBSTAR Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KBSTAR Short Term IG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KBSTAR Short Term IG has an alpha of 0.0936, implying that it can generate a 0.0936 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KBSTAR Short Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KBSTAR Short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KBSTAR Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KBSTAR Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KBSTAR Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KBSTAR Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KBSTAR Short Term.KBSTAR Short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KBSTAR Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KBSTAR Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KBSTAR Short Term IG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KBSTAR Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 256.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
KBSTAR Short Technical Analysis
KBSTAR Short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KBSTAR Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KBSTAR Short Term IG. In general, you should focus on analyzing KBSTAR Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KBSTAR Short Predictive Forecast Models
KBSTAR Short's time-series forecasting models is one of many KBSTAR Short's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KBSTAR Short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KBSTAR Short in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KBSTAR Short's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KBSTAR Short options trading.