PLAYMATES TOYS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.066

45P Stock   0.07  0  1.54%   
PLAYMATES TOYS's future price is the expected price of PLAYMATES TOYS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PLAYMATES TOYS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PLAYMATES TOYS Backtesting, PLAYMATES TOYS Valuation, PLAYMATES TOYS Correlation, PLAYMATES TOYS Hype Analysis, PLAYMATES TOYS Volatility, PLAYMATES TOYS History as well as PLAYMATES TOYS Performance.
  
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PLAYMATES TOYS Target Price Odds to finish over 0.066

The tendency of PLAYMATES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 69.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PLAYMATES TOYS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.0 (This PLAYMATES TOYS probability density function shows the probability of PLAYMATES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PLAYMATES TOYS has a beta of 0.71. This suggests as returns on the market go up, PLAYMATES TOYS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PLAYMATES TOYS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PLAYMATES TOYS has an alpha of 0.0347, implying that it can generate a 0.0347 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PLAYMATES TOYS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PLAYMATES TOYS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLAYMATES TOYS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PLAYMATES TOYS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.074.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.064.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.074.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.08
Details

PLAYMATES TOYS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PLAYMATES TOYS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PLAYMATES TOYS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PLAYMATES TOYS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PLAYMATES TOYS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.0004

PLAYMATES TOYS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PLAYMATES TOYS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PLAYMATES TOYS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PLAYMATES TOYS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PLAYMATES TOYS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

PLAYMATES TOYS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PLAYMATES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PLAYMATES TOYS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PLAYMATES TOYS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Short Term Investments71.2 M

PLAYMATES TOYS Technical Analysis

PLAYMATES TOYS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PLAYMATES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PLAYMATES TOYS. In general, you should focus on analyzing PLAYMATES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PLAYMATES TOYS Predictive Forecast Models

PLAYMATES TOYS's time-series forecasting models is one of many PLAYMATES TOYS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PLAYMATES TOYS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PLAYMATES TOYS

Checking the ongoing alerts about PLAYMATES TOYS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PLAYMATES TOYS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PLAYMATES TOYS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PLAYMATES TOYS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for PLAYMATES Stock Analysis

When running PLAYMATES TOYS's price analysis, check to measure PLAYMATES TOYS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PLAYMATES TOYS is operating at the current time. Most of PLAYMATES TOYS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PLAYMATES TOYS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PLAYMATES TOYS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PLAYMATES TOYS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.