VERTIV HOLCL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 122.18
| 49V Stock | EUR 116.32 3.42 2.86% |
VERTIV |
VERTIV HOLCL Target Price Odds to finish below 122.18
The tendency of VERTIV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 122.18 after 90 days |
| 116.32 | 90 days | 122.18 | about 85.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VERTIV HOLCL to stay under € 122.18 after 90 days from now is about 85.79 (This VERTIV HOLCL A probability density function shows the probability of VERTIV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VERTIV HOLCL A price to stay between its current price of € 116.32 and € 122.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon VERTIV HOLCL A has a beta of -0.055. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VERTIV HOLCL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VERTIV HOLCL A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VERTIV HOLCL A has an alpha of 0.8969, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VERTIV HOLCL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VERTIV HOLCL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VERTIV HOLCL A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VERTIV HOLCL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VERTIV HOLCL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VERTIV HOLCL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VERTIV HOLCL A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VERTIV HOLCL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
VERTIV HOLCL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VERTIV HOLCL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VERTIV HOLCL A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VERTIV HOLCL A appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (21.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.52 B. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
VERTIV HOLCL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VERTIV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VERTIV HOLCL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VERTIV HOLCL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0007 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.01 | |
| Shares Float | 308.2 M |
VERTIV HOLCL Technical Analysis
VERTIV HOLCL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VERTIV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VERTIV HOLCL A. In general, you should focus on analyzing VERTIV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VERTIV HOLCL Predictive Forecast Models
VERTIV HOLCL's time-series forecasting models is one of many VERTIV HOLCL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VERTIV HOLCL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VERTIV HOLCL A
Checking the ongoing alerts about VERTIV HOLCL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VERTIV HOLCL A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VERTIV HOLCL A appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (21.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.52 B. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in VERTIV Stock
VERTIV HOLCL financial ratios help investors to determine whether VERTIV Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VERTIV with respect to the benefits of owning VERTIV HOLCL security.