HEALTHCARE TRPFD (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.8

4ON Stock   13.00  0.30  2.36%   
HEALTHCARE TRPFD's future price is the expected price of HEALTHCARE TRPFD instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HEALTHCARE TRPFD Backtesting, HEALTHCARE TRPFD Valuation, HEALTHCARE TRPFD Correlation, HEALTHCARE TRPFD Hype Analysis, HEALTHCARE TRPFD Volatility, HEALTHCARE TRPFD History as well as HEALTHCARE TRPFD Performance.
  
Please specify HEALTHCARE TRPFD's target price for which you would like HEALTHCARE TRPFD odds to be computed.

HEALTHCARE TRPFD Target Price Odds to finish over 13.8

The tendency of HEALTHCARE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.80  or more in 90 days
 13.00 90 days 13.80 
about 56.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HEALTHCARE TRPFD to move over  13.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 56.32 (This HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH probability density function shows the probability of HEALTHCARE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HEALTHCARE TRPFD price to stay between its current price of  13.00  and  13.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon HEALTHCARE TRPFD has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HEALTHCARE TRPFD average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH has an alpha of 0.0438, implying that it can generate a 0.0438 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HEALTHCARE TRPFD Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HEALTHCARE TRPFD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEALTHCARE TRPFD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0713.0014.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3713.3015.23
Details

HEALTHCARE TRPFD Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HEALTHCARE TRPFD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HEALTHCARE TRPFD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HEALTHCARE TRPFD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

HEALTHCARE TRPFD Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HEALTHCARE TRPFD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HEALTHCARE TRPFD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HEALTHCARE TRPFD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

HEALTHCARE TRPFD Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HEALTHCARE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HEALTHCARE TRPFD's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HEALTHCARE TRPFD's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0826
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.7
Shares Float106.5 M

HEALTHCARE TRPFD Technical Analysis

HEALTHCARE TRPFD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HEALTHCARE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH. In general, you should focus on analyzing HEALTHCARE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HEALTHCARE TRPFD Predictive Forecast Models

HEALTHCARE TRPFD's time-series forecasting models is one of many HEALTHCARE TRPFD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HEALTHCARE TRPFD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HEALTHCARE TRPFD

Checking the ongoing alerts about HEALTHCARE TRPFD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HEALTHCARE TRPFD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HEALTHCARE TRPFD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Other Information on Investing in HEALTHCARE Stock

HEALTHCARE TRPFD financial ratios help investors to determine whether HEALTHCARE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HEALTHCARE with respect to the benefits of owning HEALTHCARE TRPFD security.