Wharf Real (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.72
| 4WF Stock | EUR 2.40 0.02 0.84% |
Wharf |
Wharf Real Target Price Odds to finish over 4.72
The tendency of Wharf Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 4.72 or more in 90 days |
| 2.40 | 90 days | 4.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wharf Real to move over € 4.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wharf Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Wharf Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wharf Real Estate price to stay between its current price of € 2.40 and € 4.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.65 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wharf Real has a beta of 0.0727. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wharf Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wharf Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wharf Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wharf Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wharf Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wharf Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wharf Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wharf Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wharf Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wharf Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wharf Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Wharf Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wharf Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wharf Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wharf Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wharf Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Wharf Real Estate has accumulated 44.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Wharf Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wharf Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wharf Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wharf Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wharf to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wharf Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of Wharf Real shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Wharf Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wharf Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wharf Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wharf Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B |
Wharf Real Technical Analysis
Wharf Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wharf Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wharf Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wharf Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wharf Real Predictive Forecast Models
Wharf Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wharf Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wharf Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wharf Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wharf Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wharf Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wharf Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wharf Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Wharf Real Estate has accumulated 44.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Wharf Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wharf Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wharf Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wharf Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wharf to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wharf Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of Wharf Real shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Wharf Stock
Wharf Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wharf Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wharf with respect to the benefits of owning Wharf Real security.