YTL Hospitality (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.04
| 5109 Stock | 1.19 0.01 0.85% |
YTL |
YTL Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish over 2.04
The tendency of YTL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2.04 or more in 90 days |
| 1.19 | 90 days | 2.04 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YTL Hospitality to move over 2.04 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This YTL Hospitality REIT probability density function shows the probability of YTL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of YTL Hospitality REIT price to stay between its current price of 1.19 and 2.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon YTL Hospitality REIT has a beta of -0.0043. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding YTL Hospitality are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, YTL Hospitality REIT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally YTL Hospitality REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. YTL Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for YTL Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YTL Hospitality REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.YTL Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YTL Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YTL Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YTL Hospitality REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YTL Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0043 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
YTL Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YTL Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YTL Hospitality REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| YTL Hospitality REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| YTL Hospitality REIT may become a speculative penny stock |
YTL Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of YTL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential YTL Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YTL Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 72.3 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 622.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.6 M |
YTL Hospitality Technical Analysis
YTL Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YTL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YTL Hospitality REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing YTL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
YTL Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
YTL Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many YTL Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YTL Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about YTL Hospitality REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about YTL Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YTL Hospitality REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| YTL Hospitality REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| YTL Hospitality REIT may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in YTL Stock
YTL Hospitality financial ratios help investors to determine whether YTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in YTL with respect to the benefits of owning YTL Hospitality security.