PESTECH International (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.14

5219 Stock   0.14  0.01  7.69%   
PESTECH International's future price is the expected price of PESTECH International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PESTECH International Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PESTECH International Backtesting, PESTECH International Valuation, PESTECH International Correlation, PESTECH International Hype Analysis, PESTECH International Volatility, PESTECH International History as well as PESTECH International Performance.
  
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PESTECH International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14

The tendency of PESTECH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.14 
about 7.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PESTECH International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.09 (This PESTECH International Bhd probability density function shows the probability of PESTECH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PESTECH International has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, PESTECH International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PESTECH International Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PESTECH International Bhd has an alpha of 0.0632, implying that it can generate a 0.0632 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PESTECH International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PESTECH International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PESTECH International Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.144.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.114.39
Details

PESTECH International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PESTECH International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PESTECH International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PESTECH International Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PESTECH International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0034

PESTECH International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PESTECH International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PESTECH International Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PESTECH International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PESTECH International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
PESTECH International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PESTECH International generates negative cash flow from operations

PESTECH International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PESTECH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PESTECH International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PESTECH International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding984.6 M
Short Long Term Debt581.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments169 M

PESTECH International Technical Analysis

PESTECH International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PESTECH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PESTECH International Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing PESTECH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PESTECH International Predictive Forecast Models

PESTECH International's time-series forecasting models is one of many PESTECH International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PESTECH International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PESTECH International Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about PESTECH International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PESTECH International Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PESTECH International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PESTECH International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
PESTECH International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PESTECH International generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in PESTECH Stock

PESTECH International financial ratios help investors to determine whether PESTECH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PESTECH with respect to the benefits of owning PESTECH International security.