Brogent Technologies (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 181.0
| 5263 Stock | TWD 163.50 1.00 0.61% |
Brogent |
Brogent Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 181.0
The tendency of Brogent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 181.00 after 90 days |
| 163.50 | 90 days | 181.00 | about 69.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brogent Technologies to stay under NT$ 181.00 after 90 days from now is about 69.82 (This Brogent Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Brogent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brogent Technologies price to stay between its current price of NT$ 163.50 and NT$ 181.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brogent Technologies has a beta of 0.75. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Brogent Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brogent Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brogent Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brogent Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brogent Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brogent Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brogent Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brogent Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brogent Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brogent Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brogent Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Brogent Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brogent Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brogent Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brogent Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 787.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (131.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 376.51 M. | |
| Brogent Technologies has accumulated about 1.24 B in cash with (20.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.29. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Brogent Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brogent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brogent Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brogent Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.4 M |
Brogent Technologies Technical Analysis
Brogent Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brogent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brogent Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brogent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brogent Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Brogent Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Brogent Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brogent Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brogent Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brogent Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brogent Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brogent Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 787.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (131.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 376.51 M. | |
| Brogent Technologies has accumulated about 1.24 B in cash with (20.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.29. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Brogent Stock Analysis
When running Brogent Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Brogent Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brogent Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Brogent Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brogent Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brogent Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brogent Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.