Ossiam Lux (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 129.12
| 5OGU Etf | 136.12 0.03 0.02% |
Ossiam |
Ossiam Lux Target Price Odds to finish below 129.12
The tendency of Ossiam Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 129.12 or more in 90 days |
| 136.12 | 90 days | 129.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ossiam Lux to drop to 129.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ossiam Lux probability density function shows the probability of Ossiam Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ossiam Lux price to stay between 129.12 and its current price of 136.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ossiam Lux has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ossiam Lux average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ossiam Lux will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ossiam Lux has an alpha of 0.0523, implying that it can generate a 0.0523 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ossiam Lux Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ossiam Lux
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ossiam Lux. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ossiam Lux Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ossiam Lux is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ossiam Lux's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ossiam Lux , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ossiam Lux within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Ossiam Lux Technical Analysis
Ossiam Lux's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ossiam Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ossiam Lux . In general, you should focus on analyzing Ossiam Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ossiam Lux Predictive Forecast Models
Ossiam Lux's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ossiam Lux's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ossiam Lux's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ossiam Lux in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ossiam Lux's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ossiam Lux options trading.