China World (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.93
| 600007 Stock | 23.84 0.16 0.67% |
China |
China World Target Price Odds to finish below 16.93
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.93 or more in 90 days |
| 23.84 | 90 days | 16.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China World to drop to 16.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This China World Trade probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China World Trade price to stay between 16.93 and its current price of 23.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China World Trade has a beta of -0.0072. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China World are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China World Trade is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China World Trade has an alpha of 0.0952, implying that it can generate a 0.0952 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China World Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China World Trade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China World Trade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0072 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
China World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China World Trade can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China World Trade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| China World Trade is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: India Opposes China-Led Investment Proposal at WTO - Rediffmail |
China World Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
China World Technical Analysis
China World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China World Trade. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China World Predictive Forecast Models
China World's time-series forecasting models is one of many China World's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China World Trade
Checking the ongoing alerts about China World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China World Trade help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China World Trade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| China World Trade is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: India Opposes China-Led Investment Proposal at WTO - Rediffmail |
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China World financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China World security.