Zhejiang Juhua (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.57
| 600160 Stock | 22.37 0.28 1.27% |
Zhejiang |
Zhejiang Juhua Target Price Odds to finish over 23.57
The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 23.57 or more in 90 days |
| 22.37 | 90 days | 23.57 | about 5.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang Juhua to move over 23.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.71 (This Zhejiang Juhua Co probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhejiang Juhua price to stay between its current price of 22.37 and 23.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang Juhua has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Zhejiang Juhua average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhejiang Juhua Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhejiang Juhua Co has an alpha of 0.3792, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zhejiang Juhua Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Juhua
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Juhua. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zhejiang Juhua Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang Juhua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang Juhua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang Juhua Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang Juhua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Zhejiang Juhua Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang Juhua for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang Juhua can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zhejiang Juhua appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd.s Stock - Simply Wall St |
Zhejiang Juhua Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang Juhua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang Juhua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 786.3 M |
Zhejiang Juhua Technical Analysis
Zhejiang Juhua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang Juhua Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zhejiang Juhua Predictive Forecast Models
Zhejiang Juhua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang Juhua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang Juhua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zhejiang Juhua
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang Juhua for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang Juhua help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zhejiang Juhua appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd.s Stock - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock
Zhejiang Juhua financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Juhua security.