Markor International (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.83

600337 Stock   2.26  0.10  4.24%   
Markor International's future price is the expected price of Markor International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Markor International Home performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Markor International Backtesting, Markor International Valuation, Markor International Correlation, Markor International Hype Analysis, Markor International Volatility, Markor International History as well as Markor International Performance.
  
Please specify Markor International's target price for which you would like Markor International odds to be computed.

Markor International Target Price Odds to finish below 1.83

The tendency of Markor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.83  or more in 90 days
 2.26 90 days 1.83 
about 58.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Markor International to drop to  1.83  or more in 90 days from now is about 58.56 (This Markor International Home probability density function shows the probability of Markor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Markor International Home price to stay between  1.83  and its current price of 2.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Markor International Home has a beta of -0.78. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Markor International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Markor International Home is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Markor International Home has an alpha of 0.9099, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Markor International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Markor International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Markor International Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.316.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.715.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.516.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Markor International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Markor International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Markor International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Markor International Home.

Markor International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Markor International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Markor International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Markor International Home, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Markor International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Markor International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Markor International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Markor International Home can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Markor International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.18 B. Net Loss for the year was (463.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 B.
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Markor International Home Furnishings Co., Ltd. Shares Fly 28 percent But Investors Arent Buying For Growth - Simply Wall St

Markor International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Markor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Markor International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markor International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Markor International Technical Analysis

Markor International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Markor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Markor International Home. In general, you should focus on analyzing Markor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Markor International Predictive Forecast Models

Markor International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Markor International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Markor International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Markor International Home

Checking the ongoing alerts about Markor International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Markor International Home help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Markor International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.18 B. Net Loss for the year was (463.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 B.
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Markor International Home Furnishings Co., Ltd. Shares Fly 28 percent But Investors Arent Buying For Growth - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Markor Stock

Markor International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Markor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Markor with respect to the benefits of owning Markor International security.